08/16/2023 #Homelessness #Hobo #TheOtherSideoftheTracks

Many years ago, I was a young high school kid with a Sociology Class Project due. Like kids in 2023, 2 of my buddies shared the same class and three heads are better than one, right?

Anyway, we had a Super8 Camera and a handheld recording devise. With little to know thought, we agreed we would interview the “Hobos” down by the tracks. Sounds good doesn’t it?

Before we knew it, we had gathered our gear, parked and began our mission. Over the next day and a half we figured out how to find, interview, record and film the events. Keep in mind, we had no idea if anyone would even talk to us. But, they did, and as Paul Harvey would say, “and, this is the rest of the story”.

We could only find men ‘down on there luck’. Over our day and a half, we found no female “Hobos”. For some context here, as a country, we were toward the end of US involvement in the Vietnam War, the three of us were 17, we were rolling in my mom’s car, and we were clueless!

Hobos on the Tracks

As we stumbled around the railroad yard in Tulsa, OK, we literally had responses like, “What are you kids doing down here” to “Do you have any money for us” to “You better watch yourselves ‘round here”. We literally didn’t know any better. One of us did play on the football team.

As we would start up conversations, we would try to sync imaging with sound as best we could. We would ask questions like, “What’s up”?, and “How’s it going?”, and surprisingly, we had conversations lasting longer than we cared for, but remember, we were clueless!

Jumping ahead, when we arrived back at the ‘office’, we had the hardest part in front of us. “How do we edit the mishmash of film and tape into a story. This was early in the 1970s and we had lots of folk music and war cries to choose, we had voices to edit in, and we had the most important thing, Super8 film of our events from a day and a half of cluelessly wondering around where we had no business being. The naivety of youth was our guardian Angel!

After some window of time, we had pulled together which to us seemed to be a reasonable story of our time on the tracks. We watched through it a couple more times, presented to one or more of our parents, and then, carried it back to our Sociology Class for the reveal…

Well, I’m here to tell you, our story of men back from war, men who had lost everything, men seriously diluted with alcohol and men living life on the rails, struck a cord. When the lights came on in our class room, our teacher asked us to stay and play it for his next class. (He would square up with our other teachers.)

After the positive and deeply moving response, the 3 of us gathered our things and walked home together. We hadn’t put a man on the moon, but we took responsibility, created a plan, carried out the plan, presented our findings and received an ‘A’ for our efforts. It was a great time for us!

What we learned was probably far more meaningful, and it is as true today as it was 50 years ago. Some people, want to live unconventionally, with freedom of movement, and no responsibly. Back then as opposed to now is the scale and the impact of today’s homeless. Blame it on public handouts, ease of access to drugs, or a thousand other stories. The more things change, the more things stay the same…

Everyone has a story to tell, we just have to listen.

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08/15/2023 #BacktoSchool #AugustMarket #CNN/FOX

That’s right, can you believe it? #BacktoSchool already! Seems like summer weather is finally here, and kids are off to school. When I attended the University of Denver, I loved the “trimester” system where we didn’t start ’till mid september!

The #AugustMarket? Somethings you’ll never hear or read… When August rolls around we will always face the prospect of millions of kids heading off to school. Tuition has to be paid in one form or another. Stocks will be sold, credit cards will be employed, savings will be tapped and loans will be grabbed; it’s a time when most families have take a deep breath and say, “We’ll get through this!” How impactful do you think this is on markets? I’d love to read your comments.

Almost every morning, I open my #CNN App and my #FOX App on my trusty phone to get a sense. Without fail, the two news producers lead with different stories, until today. #Trump was in big letters everywhere. Is this impactful? I’d love to read your comments, but I believe this to be a diversion. Big News always hides the little things that slip through. “Keep your eyes on the road and your hands upon the wheel….”

This week, Denver’s MLS looks something like this…

Market Watch

New Listing
1236 This is a solid week for new listings!
Coming Soon
167 This is lower than weeks past.
Back On Market
284
Price Increase
173
Price Decrease
1377 We just can’t seem to get it right on the first try.
Pending
1081 This is average at best. Is it August malaise or mayonnaise?
201
Leased
87
Closed
976 Now this is the first week we’ve dropped below 1,000 in quite some weeks?????
Expired
198

How are we fairing on Active Listings compared to weeks past?

No big changes here, and the market is creating it’s typical “flat top” just like years past. I’m anticipating more of the same throughout the month of August (Everyone is paying those tuition bills)…

Anyway, today, I’m leaving you with a peek into our summer, enjoy!

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08/08/2023 #PalisadePeaches #CoolSummerNights

Over the last 10 years, this has been the trend of active listings. Coming off the financial crash of 2008, we had to clear a lot of inventory. We cleared it and more. We finished July with 5,631 Active Single Family Homes. June was 5,858, May 5,198 and April 4,719. August and September should feed into this trend with slow absorption with little or no growth in inventory.

In the last week, we’ve seen a mantra of “Nothing to see here, move along”, as the pattern is so similar to weeks past.

New Listing
1271 Nothing to see here…
Coming Soon
179
Back On Market
297
Price Increase
107
Price Decrease
1381 Still too many adjustments have been made here.
Pending
1196 A good week, but not a great week.
Withdrawn
225
Leased
74
Closed
1092 Buyers and sellers continue to find there way to the closing table.
Expired
387 Sellers giving up in larger numbers???

Denver can’t be expected to react like other cities in the US. We are 500 miles from nowhere. In any direction, we don’t have a lot to influence our local economy. This is why real estate markets are local.

What’s all this have to do with peaches and cool summer nights? Well, Palisade Peaches have arrived, and cool summer nights are back! It’s a good life.

We had a great experience working with the Cryer team! Dee kept in communication often and kept the process moving, often working outside of business hours to do so. We felt like she was always available to help. She gave helpful advice along the way and truly made the stressful experience of buying a home manageable. We would absolutely recommend the Cryer team!

Yes, it is #TestimonialTuesday…

We’re here for you…tc

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08/01/2023 #MegaMillions

Did you ever gamble a couple of bucks, and then it changed your life forever? Me neither. But, this will be my bet tonight! As you know, Shark Bite, Lightning Strike and Snake Bite (I’m reading Hippo attacks are not that uncommon.) are probably more common, I am proclaiming my desire to be a lottery winner tonight! Hmmmm?

I hope you don’t mind, but if this puppy comes home tonight, I might not be here next Tuesday.!?

On the other hand, let’s see what the last 7 days has done for Denver’s Single Family Residential Market.

New Listing (1224) More of the same not real change here.
Coming Soon (184) This is actually a bit lower than last week.
Back On Market (260)
Price Increase (131)
Price Decrease (1314) As Realtors, are we doing our job on the front end?
Pending (1259) Another, “No big change here.”
Withdrawn (214)
Leased (96)
Closed (1325) This is a good week.
Expired (380) This number is up a bit. Sellers giving up?

No real surprises here,

For those of you hanging on this far, thanks for hanging with me. Here’s a little blurb I’m sharing with you. If you come back next week, I’ll share the source…tc

The Denver residential housing market is currently experiencing high demand and low inventory, leading to rapidly rising prices. Many buyers are facing bidding wars and properties are selling quickly. However, it’s important to note that real estate markets can be unpredictable and subject to various factors such as economic conditions, interest rates, and government regulations. It’s always recommended to consult with a local real estate agent or do thorough research before making any decisions in the housing market... MA

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07/25/2023 #X #ChatAI #What’sNext

Good Morning Folks!

Does anyone care if #Twitter is no longer, and the change to #X is the here and now? Here’s my take, #X, #SpaceX, #Xchange, #BoreX, #TeslaX, #SolarX; seems like a great way to consolidate the somewhat messy corporate structure known on the street as #XMusk? Am I wrong?

This morning, I asked ChatAI what’s up with Denver’s Residential Market. This is what I received.

“The Denver residential housing market is currently experiencing high demand and low inventory, leading to rapidly rising prices. Many buyers are facing bidding wars and properties are selling quickly. However, it’s important to note that real estate markets can be unpredictable and subject to various factors such as economic conditions, interest rates, and government regulations. It’s always recommended to consult with a local real estate agent or do thorough research before making any decisions in the housing market.” #ChatAI

Wow!!! I just asked AI to make the previous paragraph a slightly larger font. It will not be long now!

Now, let’s take a look and see what’s really happening this week.

New Listing (1231) We are personally observing buyers are finally getting a choice.
Coming Soon (177) Lower than last week.
Back On Market (255)
Price Increase (114)
Price Decrease (1351) The biggest number on the board.
Pending (1269) A strong week, but in light of all the price reductions, should this be more?
Withdrawn (239)
Leased (79)
Closed (1120) Not a bad week. This market continues to impress in spite of all the external forces that are less than positive!!!
Expired (190)

Overall, not a bad week and very much in line with what we have been observing from weeks and months past. In other terms, this market is surviving in spite of the heat!

Yes, we are bouncing off the 100* mark in my backyard….!

Now, what’s happening to the Metro Denver Inventory? Detached Single Family Listings are looking like this.

With summer upon us, we have an active listing count of SFRs at 5,720 which is about 100 more than last week but more than 700 less than last summer and well below years previous to this. All is well in the Mile High City.

#What’sNext, in my opinion, is more the same. As long as Denver’s Economy remains vibrant and resting place for so many viable home owners, we are in for more of the same.

Everyday, we help clients through the maze of Denver Residential Real Estate. Supply, Demand, Rates, Locations, Schools, Water, Covenants, and much, much more. Going it alone can only end with less than excellent results. Give us a call or send us an email. TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com www,TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

Safe Travels…tc

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07/18/2023 #BeBriefandBeSeated

Good Morning Everyone,

These are the “dog days of summer”, so I will be brief!

New Listing (1396)
Coming Soon (200)
Back On Market (269)
Price Increase (129)
Price Decrease (1363)
Pending (1308)
Withdrawn (193)
Leased (82)
Closed (1141)
Expired (199)

Not a bad week, but nothing here echoing, “This is a great summer market”.

5,612 Active Single Family Residences in our MLS this week. This is about 500 more than reported last week. Let’s keep an eye on this trend. It’s been several weeks of increasing supply, but still below last summer.

My father always said, “Be brief and be seated”.

The Cryer Team has enjoyed a wonderful first half of 2023. Looking out at the 2nd half, we see more of the same. Buyers want to buy and sellers want to sell. We thoroughly vet our clients as to their motivations and desires. We try to bring this all together for the best possible outcomes.

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

Please don’t hesitate to reach out and contact us. We maintain a living list of some of the best vendors in this market place. We are here for you every step of the way…tc

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07/11/2023 #7Eleven #jenesaisquoi

Hello Everyone,

A new week in a new month. The eleventh day of the 7th month only comes around once per year, and we are here again. This is the time in the annual residential market cycle where it is very je ne sais quoi. I will make a guess today as we run through this post, but to be honest, no one really knows where we are headed. Certainly, the meteorologists do not know where we are going, The greenest backyard in 31 years.

This market is adapting to higher rates, but 7% is a hard pill to swallow when a little over 1 year ago, we were running with something in the 3s. As I have always said, “Life is hard, and then you die.” A little melodramatic, but it is…

So what happened last week?

New Listing (1361) We are definitely seeing more new listings each week!
Coming Soon (221)
Back On Market (233)
Price Increase (178)
Price Decrease (1307) This is a huge number reflecting the adjustment sellers are making!
Pending (1139) Just think, it took 1,307 price reductions to get this many under contract…
Withdrawn (183)
Leased (73)
Closed (1075) Not a bad early in the month number coming off the 4th. Quite good actually!
Expired (177)

In the shortest of terms, there were no major changes this week to put us into Worryville. I would call it Normalville.

Total active listings in the surrounding SMSA of Denver went up, but it is still less than 1 year ago!

Time frame is from Jan 2013 to Jun 2023
County Or Parish is one of ‘Adams’, ‘Arapahoe’, ‘Boulder’, ‘Broomfield’, ‘Clear Creek’, ‘Denver’, ‘Douglas’, ‘Elbert’, ‘Gilpin’, ‘Jefferson’, ‘Park’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Residence’

We sit at 5,427 active listings right now. This is about 1,000 fewer than last year 2022 at 6,489. If anyone tries to tell you a “Henny Penny” story about the Denver Residential Market, kindly let then know this little fact. In the long run, we will balance out to a more “normal” market where buyers continue to have a greater opportunity to buy, and sellers will have to clean up, paint up and fix up before going on the market at the most responsible price.

In the end, remember, AI, Zillow, Open Door and all the rest can’t smell, hear or council for you. Our boots are on the ground for you everyday. Please take advantage of that fact…tc

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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07/05/2023 #Kaboom #JoeyChestnut #DenverMarketWatch

It was a crazy night of pirotechniques, wind and rain; lots of rain!

What did the last 7 days look like in the Denver MLS System? Here you go…

New Listing (1014) Typical of last week’s numbers.
Coming Soon (247) Up slightly from last week.
Back On Market (188)
Price Increase (116)
Price Decrease (894)
Pending (1174) Kind of a good number for a holiday week.
Withdrawn (156)
Leased (74)
Closed (1259) Last week was the end of the month explaining such a good number.
Expired (397)
This number is clearly higher than normal. Some sellers giving up?

Last week’s numbers show no real slow down from the holiday week. In fact, some of the numbers are very good. It will be very telling over the next few weeks to see if the summer malaise kicks in like years past. Only time will tell!

People often ask me what is happening in our luxury market specifically. Here you go for the over $2M segment of our market.

Clearly 2021 and 2022 were record breaking windows in time, but if the second half performs like our first half of 2023, we will see 2023 competing for at least 3rd place and possibly 2nd place. This market segment and price range has matured quickly in our metro area.

In the meantime folks, we continue to see buyers buy and sellers sell. Sometimes it is different than years past, but with high rates, economic uncertainty, local and world events, Americans still find the security of homeownership one of their top priorities.

Whether you think you can or can’t buy a home please remember this, Joey Chestnut ate 62 hotdogs and buns in succession this weekend. I personally believe it would be easier to buy a house!

WE can help you get there whether you are coming or going…tc

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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06/27/2023 #StayingInPlace and #AgeingInPlace

Good Morning Folks,

AS we come to the end of the sixth month of the 23rd year of the new millenium, it’s hard not to be struck by the speed of time. This year is half over already!

The question coming up over and over again, is why is our inventory so low. With interest rates so high, why don’t we see inventory compounding?

Because of rates, owners are #StayingInPlace, and because about 42% of homes are owned “Free and Clear” owners are aging in place too. Finally, with market rates roughly at 7%, in general, most have no desire to leave that low rate mortgage. As a result, #StayingInPlace is the new battle Cry!

Let’s look what happened over the last 7 days in the Denver’s MLS System.

New Listing (1359) This is a strong number, but for a mid-season week, it is not great.
Coming Soon (139) This number is well below previous weeks.
Back On Market (256)
Price Increase (136)
Price Decrease (1274)
Pending (1291) This too is a strong week, but not great.
Withdrawn (196)
Leased (102)
Closed (1187) Considering how busy June has been with holidays, graduations and weather, just another average week here.
Expired (154)

AS we drift toward the #DogDaysofSummer, let’s look at the total number of active SFRs in our market. With just 4,931 Active Listings, this is virtually unchanged from last week. We can see from the Chart, the summer numbers are rounding off as in years past. Nothing new to see here.

As we go full on into summer, let’s see how strong our headwinds become. Keep in touch and never let the process inhibit you. Ask questions, prepare yourself, and be ready when opportunity does present itself.

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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Gen Z got it right! Homeownership Matters!

DID YOU KNOW?

Gen Z Home Owners Ahead of Millennials (And Their Parents, Too)

A new study of home buyers found that the Generation Z generation – the youngest eligible to buy a home – are pulling ahead of older generations regarding home ownership, buying more homes than their parents did when they were in their 20s.

Roughly 30% of Gen Zers, aka Zoomers, owned their home in 2022.
Millennials only managed to represent 28% of 2022 home owners.
Generation Xers born between 1965 and 1980 came in lower, at 27%.
If you haven’t guessed how the 20-somethings of Generation Z managed to come out on top, they had an unfair advantage: the record-low interest rates of 2020 to mid-2022. When Millennials reached their 20s, they faced a totally different economic market. The older Millennials entered the workforce during the 2001 recession, while the younger ones faced the 2008-2009 financial crisis while still in their first jobs.

Another Gen Z strategy: buying in smaller cities where housing was much less expensive. While they headed to places like Virginia Beach, Millennials favored cities like Seattle, where homes cost literally three times as much.

Last but certainly not least: considering that Gen Z workers entered the workforce when remote and hybrid work was becoming the norm, this put them in a better position than the Millennials and Generation Xers, who often found themselves tied to a single location.

This article was pilfered from our preferred lender’s newsletter with consent. Thanks to Prosperity Home Mortgage and John Pavlakovich The point is, no matter the generation, #HomeownershipMatters

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