07/01/2025 Uncorked Kitchen & Wine Bar

The Uncorked Kitchen & Wine Bar is not just for adults. We had the good fortune to chauffeur our two granddaughters to and from their cooking class last week. This was 7 – 12 year olds. Italian Food was on the menu. The exciting part is, they came home every day after class with food for the whole family. Since our granddaughters are still 6, it was a bit of scramble toward the end of the week, but they did it, and we had Mushroom Linguine, Calzones, a gazpacho, and more. we had been there before for an adult class/birthday party, and they do offer a friday afternoon FAC too! Enjoy…

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1570) This is way down from two weeks ago.
Coming Soon (108) Similarly, way down from 2 weeks ago.
Back On Market (294)
Price Increase (92)
Price Decrease (2748) Pretty much unchanged. The sellers and listing brokers are pricing off sold properties from better markets with better interest rates. It’s not working.
Pending (1337) Not fantastic, but not a bad week considering we are going into a holiday.
Withdrawn (279)
Leased (0)
Closed (1409) This included the last week of the month which always has the most closings, but nonetheless, a very good week.
Expired (751)

This week took on a dramatic change from two weeks ago. Take a look at the number of new listings down almost 900 from two weeks ago.

Let’s see how this translates into Total Active Supply.

We are seeing the end of June close out with 11,143 Active Single Family Residential Listings. Although the growth of this pool of listings has tapered, and may even have peaked, but this is the highest we’ve been in the last 10 years. Buyers have choices and the new 7 and 10 year ARMs are finally looking atrractive for borrowing buyer right now.

If you have questions about the Denver Residential Market, or for that matter, any market, we can put you in contact with experts around the US and around the world. Where is your next stop?

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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06/17/2024 “War, What is it good for?”

“Absolutely Nothing!! I’ve been preparing this blog for so long, I’ve used this title more than once. From slings and arrows to unmanned drones. War is still with us.

On the flipside of this is “Life goes on…” People by bonds, stocks, gold, bitcoin, and houses! Believe it or not, people still buy houses. We are seeing buyers respond in this marketplace to value, not price. Meaning, if a buyer or multiple buyers can identify value at a given price, it is a race to the finish line. Priced too high, however, buyers are passing your listing right on by.

Let’s see what happened in the Denver market over the last 7 days.

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1854) This is a pretty big bundle of new competition here.
Coming Soon (223)
Back On Market (321) One of these was ours. We are finding a lot of nefarious contracts being written. Buyers with cold feet in the summertime?
Price Increase (112)
Price Decrease (2555) Sellers are still not intune with Price vs. Value.
Pending (1311) Not a bad week, but not good enough
Withdrawn (229)
Leased (0)
Closed (1120) An average week, and not enough to keep pace with new inventory coming on the market. Total Active Listings has increased again!
Expired (375)

Overall, not a bad week, but it is a week that will add to our total inventory, because it was not good enough. Take a look below.

With a Total Active Listing Count of 10,825 Single Family Residences, this market has hit its inflection point. At 9.6 weeks of inventory, we are clearly into a Buyer’s Market. Buyers have started dictating to Sellers which inspection items will be corrected or credited. Buyers are getting paid for Post Closing Occupancy. Buyers are getting the Home Warranty. Sellers are bowing down to Buyers’ requests.

I have to put this into perspective. If we average 1,120 Closings like this week for 52 weeks, that is 58,240 Single Family Homes closing on an annual basis, and this does not include many builder transactions, so let’s say over 60,000 transactions. This is a big thriving market, but prices are no longer appreciating. If you read that Average Prices went up 4%, remember with less inventory in the low end of the market one multimillion dollar home skews that average. So, let’s keep our heads about ourselves and remember, the Denver Metropolitan Statistical Area is still a thriving market. We have one of the most important international airports in the world, not just the USA. Denver is the gateway to the Rocky Mountains and 4 National Parks. The metro area has somewhere north of 3.25M residents that support 4 Major League Teams all year long, even in spite of the Rockies record breaking losing record. Denver is the magnet for Montana, Wyoming, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Kansas and Texas. Just walk through the parking lot at Red Rocks on your way to be seated, you’ll see license plates from all of these states. So, the point is, be smart with your buy, prepare for your sell, and always call us!

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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06/10/2025 Red Rocks Amphitheater!

We try to go to a concert of some kind at Red Rocks every year. Last week it was Brit Floyd. I’ll leave you to do the research on this one, but if you know Pink Floyd, think of them as better than a tribute band. Let me tell you, it was spectacular!!! It rained, it chilled off a good bit, and everyone stayed for more. With a full concert season ahead of us, who knows, we may even take in a second show this year!

What happened with Denver Single Family Home Sales this week.

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1857) Growing from last week. Closings are not keeping up with new inventory!
Coming Soon (195) A little lower than last week here.
Back On Market (293)
Price Increase (191)
Price Decrease (2682) This continues to be a result of pricing on historical data.
Pending (1433) This is a nice solid weekly number, but it is not keeping up!
Withdrawn (220)
Leased (0)
Closed (1181) Better than I expected, but still not even close to keeping up with new inventory!
Expired (382) 382 Sellers just gave up last week.

Certainly not an indication of a dramatic market crash, but also, it is not healthy with Pending and Closed Listings don’t keep up with New Listings!

Here’s snapshot of May’s Activity;

Let’s look at total inventory now.

We reached our highest level of inventory in more than 10 years. But 13 years ago Denver’s market had double this number. Either way, 10,698 is a lot of active Single Family Listings. This is a little more than 9 weeks worth of inventory. We have to pay close attention whenever we coast past 2 months supply. I’m afraid, this market will drift into summer malaise sooner this year without some serious help from 30 year fixed rates!

As always, do not hesitate to lean in on our experiences and our experience. You can always reach both of us at TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com. Let’s make a plan for your next move!

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06/03/2025 It’s Raining?

That’s right, it’s raining. It’s 50*, and it’s raining. Rain is predicted for the rest of the week. Dee and I back up to 120 acres of Open Space. It is green, very green. We’re living the dream!

Even our residential market is showing some signs of renewed interest. Let’s be brief and be seated as my father would say.

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1742) Fewer than last week. This will help quell the surge we’ve been experiencing.
Coming Soon (258) A little high, but lower than some of our past spring weeks.
Back On Market (335)
Price Increase (100)
Price Decrease (2750) This number is HUGE with a capital ‘H’.
Pending (1401) A strong week. This is good!
Withdrawn (239) Seller’s giving up is lower.
Leased (0)
Closed (1462) Let’s look at this. 1,462 closings in the last week. Times 52, and we would have an alltime record year, and monthly, that’s almost 6,000 Listings Closed. Is this a signal?
Expired (624)

There is always a BUT, right? We broke through 10,000 Active Single Family Listings in the 11 county Metropolitan Denver Statistical Area. But, with the 1,462 closings this week, that 10,410 Active Listings number is really just over 7 weeks supply at those closing levels. It’s alarming to break over 10,000 active listings, but this statistical area has about 3.25M people. Not many choices when observed from a more macro level.

The chart below confirms the market’s regularity of past years where we hit maximum competition in June, and the least competition in January. Something to ponder here, right?

Anyway, let’s team up. Together, Everyone, Achieves, More. We sat down with some past clients yesterday. They are making a move to be closer to family. The plan will be multifacitied, and we were able to offer some of our experience and share experiences to make the change smoother for them. WE can do the same for you. Let’s make a plan for you…

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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05/28/2025 Locational Obsolescence?

Locational Obsolescence: This occurs when external factors reduce a property’s desirability due to its location. In this example, the house is on a busy street, which may deter buyers due to noise, safety concerns, or lack of appeal compared to quieter areas. This type of obsolescence is external (beyond the property owner’s control) and can significantly lower market value.

Market Shift: The buyer purchased during a low-inventory market (a seller’s market), where demand outstripped supply, likely forcing them to compromise on location (e.g., the busy street). Now, as a seller in a high-inventory market (a buyer’s market), there’s more competition, and buyers can be pickier, avoiding properties with locational drawbacks.

Let’s see what happened in the last week in Denver’s Single Family Residential Market.

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1501) This eased up from last week’s HUGE number of New Listings.
Coming Soon (299) This is up a good bit.
Back On Market (272)
Price Increase (103)
Price Decrease (2086) This is way down from last week too!
Pending (1233) This is down enough to cause me to worry.
Withdrawn (199)
Leased (0)
Closed (1001) Once again, this it down enough to make me worry. It indicates 9.41 weeks supply of SFRs active.
Expired (286)

We are just not closing listings like last year and the year before. This market is entrenched with resistance to current interest rates being too high. If a Seller has a low, low rate, they don’t want to move. If a Buyer can’t pay cash, and has to buy with a new mortgage, “rates are too high”. So, this is where we are, but wait, there’s more.

This is just one of the reasons inventory is increasing. As you will see below.

We currently have 9,424 Active Listings and we closed 1,001 listings last week. This gives us a 9.4 weeks supply. We clearly have moved into a buyers’ market.

If you have thoughts of buying or selling, let’s start early. Let’s discuss your goals. Let’s discuss your fears. Lean in on our experiences and years of experience. Let’s make it happen…

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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05/20/2025 Buyers have taken the lead in this market!

Good Morning Everyone,

This morning, I will show you how The Buyer in this market has taken the lead position. Additionally, I will show you how a seller can keep their equity in tact. The Denver Market has flipped from Seller to Buyer.

This week’s report of Denver’s Market over the last 7 days looks good to buyers, but it causes some fear in the hearts of sellers. The seller finally gets their house on the market, and then over the weekend, 1, 2, or 3 new listings come on the market down the street and around the corner. Buyers now have sellers competing for their attention, and that has become the Price Improvement Strategy. PIS Makes sellers angry. “I gave up everything to buy this house 5 years ago, but now, buyers are doing all kinds of inspections, examining everything”. Asking for Credits, Price Reductions and Repairs, the buyer is now in the catbird seat.

Let’s take a look:

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (2041) If you are a buyer, you are happy to see this continual growth of new inventory each week.
Coming Soon (178) This number is actually less than previous weeks.
Back On Market (311)
Price Increase (145)
Price Decrease (2744) Holy Moly! WE just can’t get our list price right!
Pending (1483) Not a bad week. This shows us buyers are out there, and ready.
Withdrawn (231)
Leased (0)
Closed (1171) This is not a bad week, but it is not enough to maintain a Sellers’ Market.
Expired (326)

We hit 9,320 Active Listings this week. In the last 10 years, we have not seen a number this high. Last year at this time, we were at just under 6,600 Active Listings. As you observed above, as long as we have more New Listings, and fewer Closings, Inventory will continue to rise. More inventory only serves the buyer at this point! Keep in mind, based on weekly closings this is just shy of 8 weeks of inventory. 2 Months supply has never killed a market. We are still healthy, but we do have the flu.

The long trend of HIGH RATES is clearly taking its toll on this market. When someone at the lowest price range can’t get into the market, those subsequent transactions can’t take place. Long story short, until we see a break in interest rates (Affordability) we will continue to see inventory build. Remember, I am only showing you Single Family Residences. Attached and Condos are not in these numbers.

Summary of 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates (2015–2025)
Based on data from Freddie Mac, Mortgage News Daily, and other sources, here are the average annual 30-year fixed mortgage rates in the United States for each year from 2015 to 2025 (with 2025 data up to May):
2015: 4.09%

2016: 4.21%

2017: 4.04%

2018: 4.61%

2019: 3.76%

2020: 2.77%

2021: 3.27%

2022: 6.54%

2023: 6.67%

2024: 7.07%

2025: 6.88% (average through April 16, 2025)

In the spring and summer of 2022, when rates bounced off the lows of the year before, it has created chaos for the first time buyer. We went from a Seller telling us, “Why do I want to sell and appreciating asset, to a buyer telling us rates are too high” almost overnight, but it has taken 2 and half years to get here.

As we make our way toward the light at the end of tunnel please remember, we are out here everyday working for our clients. Please don’t hesitate to learn from our experiences and our experience. Every buyers’, and every sellers’ situation if different. Let’s make a plan together.

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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05/13/2025 “Did you ever wonder why?”

Andy Rooney coined this phrase on “60 Minutes”. From 1978 to 2011, Andy would come on and say, “Did you ever wonder why?” The hook was set, and we would anxiously wait for Andy’s story. His ability to blend humor with social commentary was extraordinary! He was most typically on the side of humor, but he would always try to be positive while sharing a solution. Andy is long gone now, but he has been replaced by X.

On the X platform, I am able to pursue humor, social commentary, the stock market, political policy, the crazy stuff Chuck Schumer espouses, or just be entertained. There is nothing closer to the news than when a governor Tweets something, and then I can follow thousands of responses over time. There are some very unpopular governors on X. If you are an X follower, you can find us at @MyTownCryer.

This week our MLS report for Denver Single Family Residences looks like this…

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1716) A very strong number of New Listings. Supply will jump up! Buyers should be happy!
Coming Soon (325) This number is up too!
Back On Market (285)
Price Increase (149)
Price Decrease (2305) This is our Achilles Heel!
Pending (1453) Not a bad week. This number continues to prove we are into the spring selling and buying season, but sellers have arrived in full force!
Withdrawn (193) Gave up this week.
Leased (0)
Closed (1025) Whenever we are over a 1,000 it’s a good week, but this is not enough to kwell inventory growth. This is worrisome.
Expired (313)

Now, let’s talk about Total Active Inventory! Boy did It did jump!!!

Let me sort the numbers for you:

Today 9,158 Active Listings; May of 2024 we had 6,590; 2023 we had 5,209; in 2022 we had only 3,888; and in 2021 when buyers were waiting in line to get into an Active Listing, there were only 2,273. So, we’ve dissolved from a market appreciating at a double digit rate to a market where Zillow is predicting in excess of a 3% decline. This is still only 8+ weeks of supply. We’re not giving up! Title Companies, Lenders, RE Brokers, Inspectors and more are out here for you trying our very best to make your transaction a positive experience. As you will see, our market will Eb and Flow, but over time, it is a positive experience.

Let’s talk about this from a more broad point of view. Here is an image of price trends in Denver All Types over the years.

If you purchased in 2015 you’ve had a great run. What I really want you to observe thuogh is over time, everyone does OK. Timing is very important, make no mistake residences in Denver appreciate over time and are a sound investment.

As you can see, this market gets more complicated everyday. We are out there in the market everyday with buyers and sellers. Lean in on our experience and experiences. We most likely have a plan for you. As we go through this market adjustment, we can report to you every week on what’s happening, and you can follow along right here!

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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05/06/2025 One Third Down, Two Thirds to Go!

Can you believe 1/3 of the year has past already. I don’t know, but for me, time is really flying by at supersonic rates of speed. Seems like January was yesterday! Make sure everyday has value…

This week’s numbers are really starting to give us a true picture of the market.

Below you will find The Denver MSA’s MLS numbers for the last 7 days for single family residences.

Denver Market Watch
New Listing (1881) This is a pretty big number. Buyers have to be excited about all the new prospects coming to market.
Coming Soon (290)
Back On Market (328)
Price Increase (130)
Price Decrease (2429) This clearly signifies our market can no longer be priced of comps from the past. The market has changed,
Pending (1452) Not a bad week here, but still not keeping up with the number of New Listings.
Withdrawn (178)
Leased (0)
Closed (1540) As far as I know, this is the best weekly number for closings in 2025, but once again, it’s still not keeping up with new listings, supply will continue to grow.
Expired (479) This is the highest I’ve seen this number this year. Sellers have run their course.

We saw Supply go UP, this week, and even though demand is showing a real effort to keep up, it is falling behind. Let’s look at Total Active Listings.

Hey Folks, Part of this is seasonal, but part of this is a market moving toward oversupply. One year ago, we had 6,590 Total Active Listings. Today, we have 8,963 Total Active Listings reported. This is a +36% increase. This means we have about a 6 weeks supply of inventory based on this week’s closings. All said, this is not a bad market, it is a market not as strong as a year ago, and in 2021 when we had 2,223 Total Active Listings where less than 2 week’s supply was de rigor.

Anyway, we have moved into a market with enough supply to clear offer, It is not a seller’s market, but at the same time, it’s not completely true to offer it up as a buyer’s market. We are currently in a more balanced market than 2021, I am certain of that. If we continue to pack on more inventory with little or no improvement from buyer contract numbers, we are headed down that path for sure.

I can’t remember when I have been as frustrated. This market ebbs and flows, and then a bunch of numbers like this week which would clearly lead one to believe, we will soon be moving into a DECLINING Market.

We watch the numbers very closely. A complimentary number to this hypothesis, are DOM, Days on Market, UP. This is not a good number. This is an indication the Market Velocity is slowing compared to years past. The Denver Market Prices are falling at a rate of about 3% on an annual basis. With that being said, if we list too high, and it takes several price reductions to get down to its Market Value, this adversely affects the entire market ethos.

We will be studying this for you very closely, so don’t hesitate to lean in our our experiences. Today, it a good day. We will be receiving an offer on one of our listings, and we will be submitting an offer for one of our buyers. So, remember, each on of those numbers comes from someone, and we assist the market in making it happen.

Remember, Time Flies!

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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04/29/2025 The Catharsis of the Process

Many our clients, if not all, will remember me saying, “It’s the Catharsis of the Process.” A cleansing if you will. A buyer will have different emotions than a seller, but on both sides of the ball, intense emotions are eventually released which make the process more understandable. Right now, in the Denver Market, there are a lot of pent up emotions. Buyers are fearful of the next phase of this market, and Sellers are stuck wondering what happened to the last phase of this market.

Dee and I have been through many market cycles together. In the late ’70s we saw rates skyrocket. In the mid to late ’80s, we watched the Savings and Loans on every corner taken over by the RTC. In the ’90s we saw a return to normalcy to some degree, and then as we turned the corner with “Y2K” we were off to the races. You could simply tell the lender what your Earned Income was and get a loan. Well, by 2008, we know how that story turned out. In 2010 we had 25,000 active listings, today we have around 10,000. Still nothing to brag about, but every market is different!

So, let’s jump right into what happed in the last 7 days in Denver SFR Market. We report on single family properties in these stats, and we cover the 11 counties in close proximity to Denver which pretty much defines Denver’s MSA.

This week we observed a lot of pin action. We are into the Selling Season for 2025, but it is just different than last year. The pins are moving, but not at the pace or volume we would like to see.

Denver’s Market Watch
New Listing (1877) Wow! This is a big week for new listings. Buyers should be busy!
Coming Soon (302) A little higher than average
Back On Market (297)
Price Increase (194)
Price Decrease (2334) I have never seen this number any higher.
Pending (1423) A good week for contracts!
Withdrawn (142)
Leased (0)
Closed (1184) Not bad, but this will not keep pace with 1,800 New Listings. Supply will go up!
Expired (270) This is down a bit. Sellers are not giving up as past numbers were indicating.

So, what have we learned from the last 7 days? Like so many years past, Supply is growing, Demand is not keeping pace, and the Ratio of Closings to Inventory is leading us toward more Supply, and not the favored Shortages of years past.

Up next, What does the Total Supply of Active Listings look like?

Last year at this same time, we had only 5,590 Active SFRs on the market. This morning, we have 7,762 Active Listings. On a percentage basis that’s an increase of 38%. Wow, that is a huge increase by percentage, but for a MSA of 3.25M residents, this is still not a lot in shear numbers. I’m not saying this is a good thing, but it is certainly not a nightmare either.

We can’t think of a life change affecting one’s level of homeownership to which we haven’t assisted. Do you want your friends over, do you want your family around, do you want to have fun in your home? A good plan, leads to good decisions, and good decisions lead to a fun happy experience in life. More than ever in this market, you need an experienced Realtor by your side. We are here for you!

TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

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04/22/2025 A Tribute to Ed McWilliams

When I moved over to The Kentwood Company 25 years ago, I already knew Ed, but not on a conversational level. Recently Ed passed. It was very sad, and it was unexpected. Ed was just a few years my senior, and these events always strike home a little harder. My first office at Kentwood was across the hall from the “Mailroom”. One day, Ed was going through his mail, and as he turned to walk out, he stopped at my office door, and we began a conversation about the market, business and family. As we wrapped it up, he said, “Nothing can turn on a dime than faster this business.”

Those words have been with me ever since, and of all the words spoken day in and day out, these words always ring true. Rates could drop tomorrow, and this would change things dramatically. That house I’ve been trying to list for the last 2 years; the seller calls and says, “Let’s get going!” Or, the buyer we’ve taken out 10 times finally decides to move forward. And, just like that, we’ve turned on a dime. Ed was a good man, he will be missed by many. I wish he was still here for just one more conversation.

Let’s see what our market has been like for the last 7 days.

The Denver
Market Watch
New Listing (1539) Down from last week, but still a very busy week!
Coming Soon (376) Up a little from last week. More on the way!
Back On Market (293)
Price Increase (198)
Price Decrease (1853) Still proff of how difficult pricing has become. This number is too high!
Pending (1347) A good week for contracts, but not as good as last week…
Withdrawn (161)
Leased (0)
Closed (1166) Better than last week’s closing number, but not enough to keep up. Supply will continue to increase unless we see more action here!
Expired (264)

So, let’s take a look at the Total Number of Active Listings.

Up another 150 Active Listings this week to 7,653. The supply appears to be flattening, so maybe we will get out of this supply trend of more and more each week. With just a few more contracts and a few more closings, we would see supply decrease. Let’s hope for more flattening.

As always, we are here to assist with all your real estate needs and wants. You can always reach us at TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com

Let’s raise a hand and offer a toast to all those friends and family we’ve lost along the way…tc

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