What do you think? Check out this home I found on Zillow.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What do you think? Check out this home I found on Zillow.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seasonality, Election, Economic Events, Sentiment, International Trade, Market Volatility or… Take your pick, as the world turns, so does our Denver Residential Market. As you can see below, not the difference in the our market today, and then back in April. WOW! What a difference!
Monday, December 3, 2018
New Listing (762)
Back On Market (200)
Price Increase (115)
Price Decrease (925)
Under Contract (1018)
Withdrawn (262)
Leased (44)
Sold (1191)
Expired (450)
April 9, 2018
New Listing (1720) This is a HUGE number!
Back On Market (217)
Price Increase (305)
Price Decrease (663)
Under Contract (1633) Chasing right behind new listings is the omnipresent demand!
Withdrawn (143)
Leased (31)
Sold (1340) Week after week, this continues to be very solid. Not record pace, but close!
Expired (187)
With this comparison made, in my opinion, most of this is seasonal as opposed to a new direction for Denver’s market. We often see things drop off around this seasonal time of year. If I was a betting man, I would bet 2019 would be different, maybe weaker, than 2018, but not significantly.
I will circle back to this post in a few months, we will revisit this data and make some predictions moving forward in 2019. Typically, residential markets move at glacial speed, I would suspect, this will be no different. Change takes time.
In the meantime, if you have some plans to buy or sell in 2019, let’s discuss a plan to maximize your sales price or strategically place you in the market as a well informed buyer. One always wants to negotiate from a place of strength. All it takes is one call…tc
Dee and Tom Cryer 303-773-3399 TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com
|
Those of us following the stock market read or hear the words, “Consumer Sentiment” almost every week. What is consumer sentiment? In the present, it’s what’s happening now. In the past, it may have been “irrational exuberance”. In the future, it’s applied as a guess to what might happen “next year”. It can be good, bad or indifferent. Most of the time, someone is trying to read into it and predict the future. I say, “Good Luck with that.”
Well, it’s clearly “that time of year”. We go out with friends, neighbors, relatives, associates, and clients. When they get together with us, they always ask, “How’s the market?” Most of the time I say, “It’s complicated, but I’d love to schedule a lunch, coffee or a visit to the office and give it the time and attention it really deserves”. Sometimes, people think this approach is too serious. Personally, when someone wants to know about the market, there is a deeper issue haunting the conversation, and it truly deserves our time and attention.
Or, they could just tune in here every week and read some of my market opinions right here. Well, this weeks RANT is ready for you! WOW, all I can say is WOW. Last week, Denver’s Residential Market just shut down and took the week off. Except for the Under Contract numbers, every category was down by at least 50% over previous weeks.
New Listing (551) Down
Back On Market (185) Down
Price Increase (66) Way Down
Price Decrease (641) Off by 2/3’s
Under Contract (1004) Down about 25%
Withdrawn (195) Down
Leased (24)
Sold (795) Down
Expired (203) Down, but not the worst
So, you’re all looking at your each other asking, “Well Tom, what does it mean?”
Here’s what I believe to be true. We had a mid-week Thanksgiving as usual, but Thanksgiving this year is what they say “came early”. People went “Home”, people came to your home, people traveled, people rested and as far as the residential market goes, people said, “We’re going to visit my _________, and if it is still available when we return, we’ll take another look.”
Well, “Consumer Sentiment” may be saying something different to all of us, but right now, the sentiment is clearly saying, “Let’s take a break from the Denver Residential Market”. Let me be clear, this is not a bad thing, it just slows the “inevitable” down a bit. Buyers that may have done something this year are already thinking 2019. Sellers are already thinking 2019 because they think 2019 is over already. As you can see above, buyers are still in the market, and the Under Contract numbers are not great, but it wasn’t a bad week!
Let’s keep in touch, let’s create a plan, let’s add some science to this process. Let’s discuss your sentiment…tc
Tom & Dee Cryer TheCryerTeam@Kentwood.com 303-773-3399
Yes; that’s right. “It’s that time of year again.” Will your turkey stand the test of time. With all the uncertainties of preparing a turkey, is there really a “perfect turkey”? There’s preparation; dressing in or dressing out? There’s the timing; will everyone arrive on time keeping with the planned flow? There’s temperature; to hot, dry. Too slow, cold! I almost forgot, fresh vs. frozen? There are at least a dozen more variables to consider, right?
For those of you already in Denver’s Residential Market, you’ve already faced this type of decision matrix. This neighborhood or that one, this style or that style, near this or that, old vs. new, ranch vs. 2-story, it doesn’t end! Throughout our entire lives, the decision matrix is always one step ahead or one step behind.
Let’s look at one more area of our lives. Mutual Funds vs. ETFs, Walmart or Amazon, Amazon or Alibaba, Microsoft or Google; yep, one step ahead or behind since day one.
Well Tom, how does all this relate to today’s report? Some of you have asked me, is this data just Denver, or Denver Metro, or what I like to explore, the Greater Denver Metropolitan Area. That’s why the numbers sometimes don’t match DMAR’s Numbers. The point of these numbers are to consistently report from the same source over time to discover trends in the market and report back to you.
New Listing (1112) Remember, we are coming into a holiday week.
Back On Market (240)
Price Increase (123)
Price Decrease (1201) Sellers still want to get it done before year’s end.
Under Contract (1298) Buyers are looking for deals!!!
Withdrawn (247)
Leased (38)
Sold (1241) A good week, not a great week.
Expired (313) In relation to the other numbers above, this is a big number for sellers just “giving up”.
I would be remiss if I didn’t say thank you! Dee and I have been very fortunate. 2018 Marked many firsts for us and many anniversaries too. Our most important first was becoming Grandparents! They say, “A picture is worth a thousand words”, this picture says it all!
What’s new is not new again…, orTom Cryer, SCRP
Broker Associate
THE CRYER TEAM
Kentwood Real Estate
4949 S. Niagara St. #400
Denver, CO 80237
303-638-3202
Tom@Kentwood.com
Good Monday Morning Everyone!
What have we re-learned over the last week? I say re-learned because we are constantly learning something new, but sometimes it is what we have re-learned is most important.
In the last week, I re-learned, well priced, well cared for and well positioned (located, etc.) homes in this market are still selling like crazy. Another 1,380 listings went under contract in the last 7 days. By no means is this a record, but it does tell us, buyers are in the market, they are ready to spend and if the aforementioned items are readily apparent to said buyer, the listing is going under contract!
So, let’s look at the last 7 days in our MLS:
New Listing (1347) Sellers are not afraid to compete in this market! This is a strong number as we move into the Holiday Season!
Back On Market (307)
Price Increase (183)
Price Decrease (1374) These are sellers willing to compete with the new inventory.
Under Contract (1380) These are buyers finding their way in a confusing market.
Withdrawn (261)
Leased (39)
Sold (1594) I’m predicting solid numbers through year’s end here. This is a good week! Buyers and Sellers always want to get it done by year’s end.
Expired (639)
In summary, the market continues in the right direction. Seller’s may not be getting as high a price as they would have earlier in the year, but they are obtaining a higher price than year’s past, buyers may be perceiving a “good deal”, and everyone is leaving feeling like a winner.
It’s often been said, “Buyers want last year’s prices, and sellers want next year’s prices”. This market may just be providing the “equilibrium” both sides are seeking. There can be a balance. When the script is finished, 2018 will be a very good year for Denver’s Residential Real Estate.
Tomorrow’s election results will provide joy and disappointment to “both sides”. In the end, however, life will go on, we will still be stuck with some entity fooling with our clocks. We will continue to lack money for public employee pensions. We will struggle to find funding for roads. And, we will all be wondering, “What were they thinking?…”
All I can say, “Get involved”! Be a part of your HOA, your town, your county, your state, etc. Get out there, take a risk, be heard! The arguments on all sides demonstrably resonate with our family, friends, neighbors and co-workers across the country. The problems in Boston are different than the problems in Denver. And the problems in Salt Lake are different than the problems in Tulsa. We are different, our geographic problems are different and our political biases are different, but the one thing we all have in common is tomorrow. We can work together to make it better, or we can sit back and let someone else do it. We have a choice!
|
|

Photo by Aleksejs Bergmanis on Pexels.com
The confusion of today’s residential real estate market in Denver is crazy. Price range, location, floor plan, amenities and more still have a huge impact on the market’s attraction to a property or not. I’m sure there is, but I can’t imagine a more “localized” market than Denver’s.
What does this mean? Typically, if you are trapped in the “Cloverleaf” and can’t stop circling, you have not educated yourself in a manner that enhances your ability to make credible decisions.
Did you know you can pick a house, a company will buy it for you, and subsequently give you a purchase option at a guaranteed price sometime in the future. You’ll probably pay an “above market rental rate”, but at the end of your option, “no harm, no foul”; just walk away, or exercise your option and stay put.
If you have a concern, there is a solution! The market is mostly smart. Buyers and Sellers are mostly smart. It’s an orderly process most of the time. The residential market is not something to be fearful of, it is a place to educate oneself and make market informed decisions.
Buying a home in any market is not a place to venture alone. In spite of its ease of entry, decisions made now on the buy-side will impact you later on the sell side.
Let’s look at the last 7 days in Denver’s MLS system. 10/29/2018
New Listing (1289) Seasonally low; this is to be expected.
Back On Market (287)
Price Increase (101)
Price Decrease (1602) Wow! This number continues to reflect motivated sellers looking to “get out” before year’s end.
Under Contract (1315) Not a bad week. Buyers are “sniping” the “good deals”. When buyers see value, they are still pulling the trigger.
Withdrawn (230)
Leased (33)
Sold (1235)
Expired (304) Sellers believing it’s the “Realtor’s” fault and not the market’s fault. They’ve given up. “I’ll just stay here if I have to sell it at this price!”
We have discussed this “bifurcated” market before, and Denver’s market is clearly that. That’s the reason you need a seasoned “in the market” broker to answer your questions, offer solutions and be with you every step of the way.
Every week, we are in observance of the nuances of Denver’s Residential Market. We’ve been here for the “Boom and Bust” of the ’70s and ’80s, we’ve been her for the “Boom and Bust of the ’90s, and we were here for the “Boom and Bust” of the “New Millenium”. We plan to be here for this next cycle too. We can speak from experience. We can share it with you. Please don’t hesitate to give us a call. 303-773-3399
Don’t continue looping in the “cloverleaf” of Denver’s Residential Market! “Failure to plan is a plan for failure.”
You must be logged in to post a comment.